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The Change Rate Of International Crude Oil Is Negative To &Nbsp, And Domestic Oil Price Reduction Is Expected To Fail.

2011/7/30 10:16:00 27

International Crude Oil Change Rate Falls

Has been looking forward to domestic refined oil. Price Consumers may be disappointed again. With the recent upward trend of international oil prices, the domestic oil price reference rate of three crude oil change rate is negative, which means that the hope of domestic oil price reduction in the near future has failed.


As the United States has not yet solved the problem of debt ceiling and deficit reduction, with the deadline of August 2nd approaching, once the US government has not yet issued effective policies on the debt issue, the rating agencies will downgrade the US credit rating. Affected by this, the US dollar index went down day by day, while the US dollar denominated international crude oil price rose and approached the 100 yuan mark again.


"Under the above background, the negative rate of the three crude oil change rate is positive." Bulk product e-commerce platform Treasure Island analyst Han Jingyuan told reporters. Data show that as of July 28th, the average daily price of three crude oil was 116.910 US dollars per barrel, the average price of nearly 22 days was 114.258 US dollars per barrel, which was 1.93% higher than the benchmark price in April 5th.


Nevertheless, this week's domestic oil market turnover has not seen a significant improvement in the atmosphere, the various places are mixed. And as the end of the month approached, oil companies everywhere took different steps according to their different tasks. Marketing Strategy: regions with large amount of shortage have increased preferential treatment to catch up with sales promotion, and some regions have pushed gasoline and diesel prices to stimulate the market.


Data show that as of yesterday, the average price of 90 gasoline was 9020 yuan / ton, unchanged from last Friday; the average price of No. 93 gasoline was 9579 yuan / ton, up 18 yuan / ton compared with last Friday; the average price of diesel was 8381 yuan / ton, down 3 yuan / ton compared with last Friday.


For the aftermarket, Han Jingyuan believes that the current sales season is coming to an end in July, and by August, the market will be gradually reversed. To this end, oil companies took the lead in pushing up prices in order to spanition from strong to next sales cycle.


Information analyst at Zhuo Chuang said that the trend of international oil price in late period is the key factor affecting the domestic oil product market. If the recent surge in international oil prices continues to rise, it is expected that the crude oil rate will continue to rise in the latter three places, and the market will be expected to increase. At the same time, the rise of international oil prices will also support the formation of domestic oil prices, resulting in a corresponding increase in the volume of gasoline and diesel shipments.


However, according to the data monitoring model of the agency, if the recent international oil prices remain at a current price shock, the three crude oil change rate in the short term will still be difficult to rise to 4% of the price adjustment "red line". Considering that domestic inflation pressure is still grim, it is difficult for the central bank to tighten monetary policy in the short term, and the market capital is still tight. This will also suppress the speculative demand of the refined oil market. Therefore, overall, in the long and short message game, it is expected that the domestic oil product market will continue to be stable in the later stage. Rise But the market turnover is hard to improve.
 

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