08 Years' Expectation Of China Fur Industry

The 07 year is cold for the vast breeding enterprises and the leather traders. The raccoon skin falls below the cost line; the fox skin is repeated, and a small wave and another wave of small waves, but it always fails to reach the ideal price. The marten is even more twists and turns, from the 06 year's soaring to the 07 year Spring Festival's sudden drop, then to the subsequent high price.

When people mistakenly believe that there will be spring in mink skin, the mink market in the whole world has thrown Chinese mink into marshes.

The 07 year is a year that can not be neglected in the development of China's fur industry. It is definitely not a problem of high and low price. It has deeply influenced the development direction of China's fur industry.

A friend sent me an email saying, "Hello, Hello, teacher. I haven't contacted you for a while."

Just a few days ago, my friend asked me to play the raccoon skin. Actually, I already had such an idea, but I am more careful. "

A lot of people go to play the raccoon, and many processing enterprises have joined the ranks. In the rural area, there are a lot of farmers who have a little capital in it. As you say, this year is like a farce in the minds of people. There is the same idea in people's minds. Now is the lowest price in history. The absolute good time. And so on, even if it's going to rise for two or three years. If you want to pay, you can lose where it is, and the risk of compensation is not great. Because of the sharp rise of the raccoon skin last year, the fur market is depressed this year, with the large backlog of large number of intermediate hoarding merchants, the digestion of the market is limited, and some subjective and objective factors will be affected next year. Will next year be as optimistic as we think? Facing the low price of raccoon this year, it's time to start.

Now the price of the raccoon skin is steadily rising. Now the quality is not good enough to fight. I heard someone say: Shandong seems to be playing too much, leaving only a few small raccoon.

I would like to hear your opinion about the market trend of the raccoon dog next year and the development trend of fur industry in the future.

In fact, it can be understood through analysis. Because of the domestic drawback policy and the pressure of RMB appreciation, the processing enterprises have been different in the past, and their enthusiasm for raw leather procurement has been enhanced. The impact of this phenomenon on China's fur industry is huge. First, the function of the fur market has been greatly curbed, and the manipulation of the leather traders has been reduced. This has in fact evolved into a game of interest between the breeding group and the processing group. For now, the game has not yet reached the possibility of compromise.

Take blue fox as an example: it is reported that next year the blue fox skins will be reduced by about 50%, which is very helpful to the price recovery of blue fox fur, but the expectation is not too great. Because the enthusiasm of the leather merchants to buy blue fox fur this year has been hurt in the past, and the so-called price rise is only due to the understanding of the market.

For the future market, in view of the decline of market function, the miniaturization market will be expanded, thus forming the characteristics of China's fur media regionalization.

In the past, the information mode that was wrapped up in the past was substantially weakened. The issue of Chinese fur media quotations, the auction problem, and the Chinese fur cooperative organization's ability to control the market will have some possibility of improvement.

Due to the low price of fur at the end of 07, the whole fur market was a scene of panic.

The phenomenon of farmers' abandonment is relatively common, but at the same time, some people think that this is an opportunity to increase production and make bad time. For the sake of industrial safety, the fur animals will not increase production next year.

For the industry, the current loss is much smaller than the later harvest, which has also brought 08 different meanings to the leaders.